Which of the following events will happen first?
48
Ṁ1kṀ11kresolved Jun 12
100%99.0%
Forbes announced the world's first trillionaire
0.3%
Bitcoin price reaches $200,000
0.0%
Bitcoin price falls to $10,000
0.1%
Both Biden and Trump have died
0.0%
Taylor Swift successfully concludes a second pregnancy
0.0%
A nuclear weapon is used on the battlefield (not a test)
0.1%
Man walks on the moon again
0.0%
A military coup seizes power in a G8 country
0.0%
Jimmy Carter turns 102 years old
0.1%
Half-Life 3 is released
0.0%
The number of judges on the US Supreme Court becomes higher than the current 9
0.0%
Bitcoin recognised as legal tender in at least five G8 countries
0.0%
Football team AS Roma builds a new stadium and plays the first official game in it
0.1%
Taiwan is annexed by China
0.1%
The year 2030 begins (and none of the other options has happened)
Market resolves when one of the options becomes true, or if the year 2029 ends and none has happened yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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bought Ṁ48 YES
@mods Creator inactive >1 Year, this market can resolve to "Forbes announced the world's first trillionaire." After SpaceX IPO closing, Forbes has Elon Musk at $1.1T and has announced him as the world's first trillionaire.
Elon Musk Is The World’s First Trillionaire
Forbes Real Time Billionaires List - The World's Richest People
@MFS I'm surprised Forbes decided to do intra-day updates but this time I'm pretty sure it's not a mistake because it matches SpaceX's current trading price
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