Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the UK Parliament by January 2025?
9
170Ṁ716
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Based on whether they self-identify as an Effective Altruist. Resolves as yes if elected in January 2025 elections.

Market context
Effective Altruism
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ75
2Ṁ15
3Ṁ6
4Ṁ5
5Ṁ4
Sort by:
bought Ṁ25 YES

How will you resolve, as it's unlikely they would advertise it? Trusted private sources who are in the know seems the best thing here?

People are also trading

Will Destiny be an effective altruist by the end of 2025?
1% chance
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
21% chance
Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?
34% chance
Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?
22% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
89% chance
Will @Firepup650 endorse effective altruism by 2027?
36% chance
Will there be an effective altruist on the moon before 2035
12% chance
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
66% chance
Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030?
9% chance
Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)
14% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy