As classified by their polity score or V-DEM score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/V-Dem_Democracy_Indices
Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If both Polity score and V-DEM score are discontinued, the creator will update the market to use other democracy scores for resolution.
1,000Hi @DismalScientist
I just noticed:
the Wikipedia chart most recent data is 2018
The Center for Sistemic Peace site latest chart is also the same chart with data until 2018, and they have a note "PITF terminated its support for Polity in early 2020". I couldn't find in their site any note about Polity after 2021 https://www.systemicpeace.org/polityproject.html
Do we expect any new Polity index will ever be published again?
What do you expect to do with this market if Polity is never published again?
A) resolve N/A
B) update to other index? what index?
C) resolve for the country with higher Polity score in the most recent evaluation?
D) other ideas?
@MiguelLM Edited so that it is polity score or V-DEM score. I will update to other democracy scores if both of these go away.