
Taiwan produces over 90% of the world's most advanced semiconductors.
US President Trump has indicated interest in tariffs on Taiwan. This is highly relevant to future of important industries like AI and global politics regarding a volatile region.
This question resolves to the interval of tariffs applied to Taiwanese semiconductors on July 1st, 2025 at noon eastern time.
Details:
- If the tariffs are not uniformly applied to all semiconductors (various carve outs), the question will resolve to the estimate of the amount Nvidia is likely paying for their most advanced for-sale chips assuming direct import.
- This will resolve based off of publications of US agencies (eg, USTR.gov or CBP.gov), or from best available estimates from reputable news sources.
- If Taiwan is no longer recognized by the USTR or other relevant offices of the US government at resolution then this question shall resolve N/A.
This resolution definition might be tweaked to improve the definition (in particular before Feb 28). Please let me know if you have feedback. I will not trade in this market.
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