60% of effective altruists will live outside of the US or UK by 2024 (in 2019 45% lived outside the US and UK)

Ṁ1.6kṀ4.3k

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

ALL

Dec 3, 7:58pm: ~~60% of effective altruists will live outside of the US or UK by 2028 (in 2019 45% lived outside the US and UK)~~ → 60% of effective altruists will live outside of the US or UK by 2024 (in 2019 45% lived outside the US and UK)

Close date updated to 2024-12-31 3:59 pm

Effective Altruism

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Trader	Total profit
1		Ṁ255
2		Ṁ96
3		Ṁ95
4		Ṁ75
5		Ṁ64

People are also trading

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

68% chance

Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?

63% chance

Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?

25% chance

Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?

88% chance

Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?

22% chance

Will there be an effective altruist on the moon before 2035

12% chance

Will a U.S. House Representative, Senator, or President/Vice President self identify as an effective altruist by the end of 2030?

36% chance

Will @Firepup650 endorse effective altruism by 2027?

36% chance

is effective altruism unamerican?

POLL

Will Mr. Beast self-identify as an effective altruist by end of 2030?

11% chance

Sort by:

@Bayesian

resolves NO

Will you resolve when the 2022/23 Survey is out?

How will you do this survey?

60% of effective altruists will live outside of the US or UK by 2028 (in 2019 45% lived outside the US and UK), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition