Context: The condition for closing the WvM market is that blockchain.com shows that a BTC block ending in 00 has been mined. To prolong the market indefinitely, someone could have bribed the admins to never show such blocks.
This market will resolve to "NO" if such a block is listed in the next 2 weeks, and "YES" otherwise.
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@DavidKochanov this can resolve no
Hash: 0000000000000000000354951c8d73b341cc9d09e73254f22b68fdf2bc9f2d00
There's a 0.06% chance that (starting now) no 00 blocks will be mined until closing. Shouldn't this resolve when a 00 block is found, to see whether blockchain.com hides it?
@Shelvacu I think as soon as 00 block is mined and displayed on https://www.blockchain.com/explorer/blocks/btc/ this market will resolve NO; if this doesn't happen before 2023-05-12 19:59:00 UTC, it will resolve YES. I agree with your probability assessment btw.