Will the Bitcoin halvening be followed by substantially decreased block production?
Mini
4
280
Dec 31
6%
chance

Resolution is based on comparing BTC block rates,

averaged for 28 days in the [D+29,D+58] vs. [D-58,D-29]

intervals from after and before the halving on day D. Closes on D+29.

Resolves YES if production decreased by at least 14 block/day, NO otherwise.

Data is to be taken from <https://blockchair.com/charts/create/>
('Block height' dataset).

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