Will a civilian in Moscow be injured from an Ukranian offensive?
30
590Ṁ1990resolved Aug 3
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Context: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-66352765
I think this market is important because:
It gives anyone living in Moscow who may be terrified right now a bit more certainty.
If Ukraine is just intending to intimidate and send a message but not harm anyone, having some understanding of if they are likely to harm someone is important.
To be clear this resolves yes if any major news outlet reports something along the lines of "2 civilians sustained minor injuries" etc.
This market refers to the current ongoing conflict and will only close once there is a ceasefire that is intended to last one month (may not wait the month before resolving the market though).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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