Will the December Case Shiller be below last year's? | Manifold

Will the December Case Shiller be below last year's?

0

100

Feb 28

50%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution via FRED https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA

S&P Case Shiller National Home Price Index, NOT seasonally adjusted.

The number posted for December 2024 is 323.375. If the value for December 2025 is below this, the market resolves to YES; otherwise NO.

I will not wait for any adjustments to come out - once FRED publishes the number, that's the number.

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