Which book will be released first; between "winds of winter", "Doors of Stone", and "Thorn of Emberlain"?
18
1kṀ946
2032
10%
Doors of Stone - Patrick Rothfuss
70%
Thorn of Emberlain - Scott Lynch
21%
Winds of Winter - GRR Martin

So all three have been eagerly awaited for a long time with delays. There are some promising signs for all three in the last 6 months. At the same time many previous misleading hints have led nowhere in the past. So i am basing this on actual release of the book not just announcement that finished with editor or even announced date that could slip here we are only concerned with , actually being available to read). Can include Posthumous release and/or with assistance from another writer.

please note the close date of 2032 is not set in stone. It will be resolved upon release of any of the above, and hopefully one of them will publish much sooner than this!

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Could have gone even further and added Robert Caro's final Years of Lyndon Johnson book. https://manifold.markets/Conflux/will-caros-fifth-lbj-book-be-publis

Lisa Simpson Optimism GIF by The Simpsons

@Joshua I'm not confident at this point, but hoping one of them sorts something soon. Scott posted about things going well, Martin said has 500 pages left a while back, and Rothfuss has a novella in the series later in the year so apparently writing again. Subliminally though I am confident in the next red rising and Abercrombie books as a fallback, although I'm out of mana for questions at this point!

I kid, Scott should have this in the bag well before then IMO.

@Joshua cool with any result if I'm honest. Any announcement will start me on a re-read, and after getting through lightbringer in double quick time I need direction... GB is a good call IMHO

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