Within 2 years, will I get a tattoo endorsing the Effective Altruism movement?
9
36
Ṁ407Ṁ190
Nov 18
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be 10 new effective altruist billionaires in the next 5 years?
24% chance
Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
62% chance
Will Effective Altruism noticably segregate into multiple movements within this decade?
53% chance
Will any head of state/government publicly mention the Effective Altruism movement in 2024?
22% chance
Will the Effective Altruism movement continue to exist in 2035?
80% chance
Will the phrase "effective altruism" be used in more New York Times articles over 2024 than over 2023?
50% chance
Will I have a positive view of effective altruism on December 31, 2024?
18% chance
Will there be an Effective Altruist member of the US Congress by January 2025?
14% chance
In 100 years, will Effective Altruism be broadly seen as a beneficial movement by our (human) descendants?
80% chance
Will a political party aligned with the Effective Altruism movement hold 1+ seats in any nation's parliament by 2030?
23% chance