By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?

Plus

25

Ṁ19812051

44%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050:

https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

Then this market here resolves the same as this one:

https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi

Otherwise, the market here resolves N/A.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and3.00

Sort by:

@AnishaZaveri however they're defining it in this market:

https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi

## Related questions

## Related questions

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging?

35% chance

Will we get AGI before 2035?

72% chance

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

18% chance

Will we get AGI before 2030?

48% chance

By 2060, will there be a cure to aging?

31% chance

Will we get AGI before 2029?

42% chance

By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?

12% chance

By 2070, will there be a cure to aging?

34% chance

Will we get AGI before 2032?

62% chance

By 2040, will there be a cure to aging?

45% chance