By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?
32
Ṁ1.8kṀ8.7k2051
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050:
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
Then this market here resolves N/A.
Otherwise, the market here resolves the same as this one:
https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2050?
34% chance
Will we get AGI before 2030?
47% chance
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2040?
16% chance
Will we get AGI before 2033?
57% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
54% chance
Will we get AGI before 2034?
59% chance
Will All Diseases and Aging be Effectively Cured by 2045?
31% chance
By 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
11% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
50% chance
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on AGI by 2050?
47% chance