Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
Basic
7
Ṁ119Dec 31
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Evidence will be a formal announcement but not necessarily shipping of a new computing device using a chip that is fabbed on the new (2nm?) process. Most likely candidate will be the iPhone 16 Pro.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will a Chinese company introduce a smartphone using a domestically made chip below 7nm in 2024?
59% chance
Will TSMC announce any new investment in building a US fab by the end of 2024?
32% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2024?
77% chance
Will a Chinese company make and release a semiconductor equal to or less than 5nm by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
66% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?
30% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
21% chance
Will a SMIC 5nm chip make it into production in a consumer Huawei device in 2024?
30% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2025?
78% chance