What will TSMC market cap be at the end of 2027?
4
280Ṁ26
2028
89%
Other
0.2%
1000000000000
1.8%
750bn
9%
600bn

Market context
Ancient Markets
Semiconductors
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

How does this market work? Does this resolve to yes for each value that TSMC surpasses, yes to just the highest option that TSMC surpasses? And what is other, any value below 600bn?

Currently about 423 billion, 4 years of 9% growth gives about 600 billion.

@BTE That’s a Trillion

People are also trading

Will TSMC have a market cap of $2 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will TSMC have a market cap of $1 trillion or more at the end of 2026?
72% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
59% chance
Will most of TSMC's 2022-existing fabs in Taiwan be destroyed by 2030?
27% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
19% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance
If China invades Taiwan, will the ratio of Nvidia market cap to TSMC market cap be greater than 3 after two months?
79% chance
Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
14% chance
TSMC stock
Ṁ328
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy