Will Intel's lithography catch up with TSMC by 2028?
5
130แน852028
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Intel is in volume production of a higher transistor density than TSMC at any time before 2028
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?
57% chance
Will there be a joint venture chip foundry between TSMC and Intel? ๐บ๐ธ๐ฆพ๐ค๐ป
73% chance
Will Intel's photonics CPUs be available before 2027?
30% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance
Will Intel spin-off its foundry business by 2026?
40% chance
Will TSMC dominate the semiconductor manufacturing market for the next 10 years?
61% chance
Will TSMC introduce a new process with a node size smaller than 3nm by the end of 2024?
29% chance
Will China's Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) achieve the 3nm chip generation before 2026?
11% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2033?
19% chance