Will it be established by the end of 2022 that the Supreme Court Leak came out of one or more Conservative Justice's office(s)?
13%
chance
Background: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/05/02/us/roe-v-wade-abortion-supreme-court#roe-v-wade-abortion-supreme-court
Resolves to Yes if a major news outlet confirms that the leak was made by one of the 6 conservative justices, by one of their clerks, or through a collaboration across multiple offices/clerks including at least one from the conservative side of the bench.
Resolves to No if a major news outlet confirms the identity of the leaker came from anywhere else.
Resolves to No if the identity of the leaker remains unknown through the end of this year.