Best ARC-AGI-3 score in 2026?
32
Ṁ1kṀ5.1kDec 31
21%
0 - 10%
24%
10 - 20%
22%
20 - 30%
9%
30 - 40%
3%
40 - 50%
5%
50 - 60%
5%
60 - 70%
5%
70 - 80%
3%
80 - 90%
3%
>90%
Resolves to best AI score in 2026, according to https://arcprize.org/leaderboard
Buckets left inclusive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026?
34% chance
Best ARC-AGI-3 score by EOY26?
42.1
[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
93.6
Which lab will be the first to reach 50% on ARC-AGI-3?
Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?
14% chance
Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?
39% chance
What will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
17% chance
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
51% chance
When will the first model reach 50% on ARC-AGI-3?
10/23/28
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
44% chance