[ACX 2026] What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
16
Ṁ5.3kṀ14kDec 31
0.8%
<20%
1%
20-30%
1.2%
30-40%
1.3%
40-50%
2%
50-60%
4%
60-70%
7%
70-80%
15%
80-90%
48%
90-100%
11%
100-110%
6%
110-120%
3%
>120%
Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament. The results will be expressed as a percentage.
If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20. If it outperforms the top 5 humans, this question will resolve as the corresponding value above 100.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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