Best ARC-AGI-3 score by EOY26?
1
Ṁ275Ṁ100Dec 31
46.1 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
Below 10%
11%
10 - 19.9%
11%
20 - 29.9%
11%
30 - 39.9%
11%
40 - 49.9%
11%
50 - 59.9%
11%
60 - 69.9%
11%
70 - 79.9%
8%
80 - 89.9%
5%
Above 90%
Criteria
Resolved to the best ARC-AGI-3 score at the end of the year 2026 (Pacific Time).
https://arcprize.org/leaderboard
ARC-AGI-3
ARC-AGI-3 is an interactive reasoning benchmark.
Instead of solving static puzzles, agents must learn from experience inside each environment-perceiving what matters, selecting actions, and adapting their strategy without relying on natural-language instructions.
ARC-AGI 1 and ARC-AGI-2
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
When will the first model reach 50% on ARC-AGI-3?
9/24/28
Best ARC-AGI-3 score in 2026?
Will any AI model score above 95% on ARC-AGI-2 by end of 2026?
91% chance
Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?
14% chance
[ACX 2026] What will be the highest score achieved on ARC-AGI-2 before 2027?
93.6
Which lab will be the first to reach 50% on ARC-AGI-3?
Will any AI achieve a score of 25% on ARC-AGI-3 by the end of 2026?
39% chance
What will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
17% chance
Highest Epoch-acknowledged FrontierMath score at EOY2026?
92.8
Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026?
51% chance