MANIFOLD
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
4
Ṁ1.2kṀ1.5k
Dec 31
98%
1490+
95%
1500+
82%
1510+
73%
1520+
63%
1530+
59%
1540+
50%
1550+
41%
1560+
34%
1570+
31%
1580+
28%
1590+
26%
1600+

An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before 2026.

This market's resolution mirrors this polymarket but with additional options.

Market context
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Start of February 2026, highest score is 1481.

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