Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
12
Ṁ1.2kṀ3.7kDec 31
99%
1510+
84%
1520+
78%
1530+
71%
1540+
55%
1550+
52%
1560+
45%
1570+
36%
1580+
31%
1590+
23%
1600+
Resolved
YES1490+
Resolved
YES1500+
An option resolves YES if any model gets at least that option's arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) without style control, before 2026.
This market's resolution mirrors this polymarket but with additional options.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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