Resolves YES if the London Metal Exchange (LME) official settlement price for nickel on April 1, 2026, exceeds 9500 USD per tonne. The LME price is a widely recognized benchmark for global nickel pricing and will reflect market reactions to supply disruptions such as the Papua New Guinea nickel ore export halt. This threshold is near current market expectations given ongoing supply constraints. Only the official LME closing price on the settlement date counts; intraday prices or futures contracts do not resolve this market.
The temporary halt in nickel ore exports by Papua New Guinea can impact global supply chains, specifically increasing pressure on nickel resource availability and influencing nickel futures pricing.
Source: Article
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@mods Resolve please. creator created several markets and does not seem to have returned. (Pinged 9 days ago on another thread).
Nickel
https://www.lme.com/metals/non-ferrous/lme-nickel#Price+graphs
17209
Other nickel markets that can be resolved
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-95
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-25
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-85
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-90
@mods from link provided click on 'Price graphs'.
17209 is displayed on the second graph for 3 month contract on 1 April but maybe I should have been pointing to the first graph being the cash market which is dispayed by the graph as 17060 on 1 April.
Anyway whether it should be 17060 or 17209 this is miles away from the thresholds set for these 4 markets of 8500, 9000, 9500, and 25000.
Resolve please.