Resolves YES if the official London Metal Exchange (LME) settlement price for nickel on April 1, 2026, exceeds 8500 USD per tonne. This market captures the potential price impact from the temporary halt in nickel ore exports by Papua New Guinea, which may tighten global nickel supply chains and push prices higher. Prices are taken directly from the LME official daily settlement price. The threshold of 8500 USD/tonne is near current market expectations given supply constraints and demand trends as of early 2026.
The temporary halt in nickel ore exports by Papua New Guinea can impact global supply chains, specifically increasing pressure on nickel resource availability and influencing nickel futures pricing.
Source: Article
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@mods Resolve please. creator created several markets and does not seem to have returned. (Pinged 9 days ago on another thread).
Nickel
https://www.lme.com/metals/non-ferrous/lme-nickel#Price+graphs
17209
Other nickel markets that can be resolved
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-95
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-25
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-85
https://manifold.markets/CurtisSteele/will-the-lme-nickel-price-exceed-90
@mods from link provided click on 'Price graphs'.
17209 is displayed on the second graph for 3 month contract on 1 April but maybe I should have been pointing to the first graph being the cash market which is dispayed by the graph as 17060 on 1 April.
Anyway whether it should be 17060 or 17209 this is miles away from the thresholds set for these 4 markets of 8500, 9000, 9500, and 25000.
Resolve please.