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MANIFOLD
Will the LME nickel price exceed 9000 USD/tonne on April 1, 2026?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ620
resolved May 1
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if the official London Metal Exchange (LME) settlement price for nickel on April 1, 2026, exceeds 9000 USD per tonne. This market reflects the impact of Papua New Guinea's temporary halt in nickel ore exports on global nickel supply chains and pricing. The LME nickel price is a widely recognized benchmark for global nickel prices. Only the official LME settlement price on the specified date counts; intraday highs or other exchanges are excluded.

The temporary halt in nickel ore exports by Papua New Guinea can impact global supply chains, specifically increasing pressure on nickel resource availability and influencing nickel futures pricing.

Source: Article

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@mods from link provided click on 'Price graphs'.
17209 is displayed on the second graph for 3 month contract on 1 April but maybe I should have been pointing to the first graph being the cash market which is dispayed by the graph as 17060 on 1 April.

Anyway whether it should be 17060 or 17209 this is miles away from the thresholds set for these 4 markets of 8500, 9000, 9500, and 25000.

Resolve please.