Will LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceed 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026?

Question

This market resolves YES if the LME cobalt metal official cash settlement price exceeds 55 USD per kg on June 30, 2026.

What is measured: The London Metal Exchange official cash settlement price for cobalt metal (minimum 99.8% purity, registered brands) on the close of trading on June 30, 2026.

YES if: LME cobalt official cash settlement price is at or above 55.00 USD/kg on June 30, 2026.

NO if: LME cobalt official cash settlement price is below 55.00 USD/kg on June 30, 2026.

Resolution sources (priority order):

LME official settlement prices (lme.com/metals/minor-metals/cobalt)

Fastmarkets Metal Bulletin daily cobalt price assessment

Reuters commodity pricing — cobalt metal section

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (4 traders, as of Mar 21, 2026).

People are also trading

Related questions