MANIFOLD
Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 180000 units on May 31, 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ80
May 31
24%
chance

This market tracks Spot lithium carbonate price in China.

Measurement date: May 31, 2026

Resolution:

  • YES if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China ≥ 180000 units on 2026-05-31

  • NO if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China < 180000 units on 2026-05-31

Rationale: Zimbabwe's abrupt ban on lithium concentrate exports removes a significant portion of the hard-rock feedstock from the market, leading to a likely increase in spot lithium carbonate prices as supply tightens significantly.

Source: Article

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