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MANIFOLD
Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 170000 units on May 31, 2026?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ1.9k
resolved Sep 12
Resolved
YES
67

This market tracks Spot lithium carbonate price in China.

Measurement date: May 31, 2026

Resolution:

  • YES if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China ≥ 170000 units on 2026-05-31

  • NO if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China < 170000 units on 2026-05-31

Rationale: Zimbabwe's abrupt ban on lithium concentrate exports removes a significant portion of the hard-rock feedstock from the market, leading to a likely increase in spot lithium carbonate prices as supply tightens significantly.

Source: Article

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@mods inactive creator, overdue market

@marvingardens I'm confused, what's the resolution here? It says "price" but then is quantified in "units"

@Stralor imo the article linked in the market description makes it pretty clear that the only assumption for OP's "units" intention would be yuan. And then according to @OnlyBoot link below, the answer is yes for the given date

@Stralor I'm so confused, did the author really pay $1200 to ask a bunch of questions and then never showed up again?

@JasonMendoza2008 shrug hopefully the intel was good, but it might have taken awhile for traders to warm up to the markets so Curtis bounced? idk, just speculating

@Stralor a shame though, the markets were good as far as I can tell

@CurtisSteele resolves no. the spot prices are much lower than the future prices currently. ~70-90k yuan