This market resolves YES if China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceeds 3500 USD/t on June 30, 2026.
What is being measured: Battery-grade coated spherical graphite (≥99.95% C, D50 ~15–20μm) spot price in China's domestic market, in USD/t.
YES if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price ≥ 3500 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price < 3500 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026
Resolution sources (priority order):
Asian Metal spherical graphite price (asianmetal.com)
Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spherical graphite price (smm.cn)
Fastmarkets battery graphite assessment (fastmarkets.com)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ0 |
Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 1,728.10 USD/t
Rationale: The closest available benchmark for China spherical graphite (battery grade) is $1,728.10/t as of June 1, 2026, per SMM data. Industry sources indicate that coating premiums are typically 10–30%, which would place the coated battery-grade price in the low-to-mid $2,000s/t—well below the $3,500/t threshold. No evidence from any consulted source suggests the price approached or exceeded $3,500/t on or near the resolution date. This is a literal and reasonable interpretation of the criteria using t
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