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MANIFOLD
Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 6000 USD/t on June 30, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ37
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceeds 6000 USD/t on June 30, 2026.

What is being measured: Battery-grade coated spherical graphite (≥99.95% C, D50 ~15–20μm) spot price in China's domestic market, in USD/t.

YES if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price ≥ 6000 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026 NO if: Coated spherical graphite (battery grade) China spot price < 6000 USD per tonne on June 30, 2026

Resolution sources (priority order):

Asian Metal spherical graphite price (asianmetal.com)

Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) spherical graphite price (smm.cn)

Fastmarkets battery graphite assessment (fastmarkets.com)

Market context
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Resolved NO

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Proposed resolution: NO Actual value: 1,728.10 USD/t

Rationale: The contract asks whether the price of China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceeds $6,000/t on June 30, 2026. The best available spot price for the closest relevant product—China spherical graphite (battery-grade reference, uncoated)—is $1,728.10/t as of June 1, 2026 (SMM benchmark). Fastmarkets reports high-purity spherical graphite at $2,000–2,200/t in June 2026. Even allowing for a premium for coated battery-grade material, all credible sources indicate prices are far below the $6

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