MANIFOLD
Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 190000 units on May 31, 2026?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ110
May 31
18%
chance

This market tracks Spot lithium carbonate price in China.

Measurement date: May 31, 2026

Resolution:

  • YES if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China ≥ 190000 units on 2026-05-31

  • NO if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China < 190000 units on 2026-05-31

Rationale: Zimbabwe's abrupt ban on lithium concentrate exports removes a significant portion of the hard-rock feedstock from the market, leading to a likely increase in spot lithium carbonate prices as supply tightens significantly.

Source: Article

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 5 kt on September 29, 2026?
+19% 1d69% chance
Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,500 per tonne on April 1, 2026?
-39% 1d6% chance
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on August 29, 2026?
+13% 1d63% chance
Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,500 per tonne on May 1, 2026?
-38% 1d7% chance
Will lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot prices exceed $6,500/tonne on May 1, 2026?
+41% 1d91% chance
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
+13% 1d63% chance
Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $6,500/ton on April 1, 2026?
-40% 1d5% chance
Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,000 per tonne on April 1, 2026?
-39% 1d6% chance
Will the lithium carbonate (Li2CO3) spot price fall below $7,000 per tonne on May 1, 2026?
-38% 1d7% chance
Will the lithium carbonate spot price exceed $25,000 per metric ton on April 1, 2026?
+13% 1d63% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy