Will Spot lithium carbonate price in China exceed 190000 units on May 31, 2026?

Question

This market tracks Spot lithium carbonate price in China.

Measurement date: May 31, 2026

Resolution:

YES if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China ≥ 190000 units on 2026-05-31

NO if: Spot lithium carbonate price in China < 190000 units on 2026-05-31

Rationale: Zimbabwe's abrupt ban on lithium concentrate exports removes a significant portion of the hard-rock feedstock from the market, leading to a likely increase in spot lithium carbonate prices as supply tightens significantly.

Source: Article

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 18% chance (4 traders, as of May 31, 2026).

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