Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term? | Manifold

Will a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?

27

1kṀ2250

2029

27%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if any of the following occur before December 31st, 2028:

A bill or proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in any congressional committee
A bill or proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in either chamber of Congress
A constitutional amendment proposal allowing Trump to run for a third term is brought to a vote in any congressional committee or chamber

🇺🇸 US Politics

Trump's Second Term

Republican Party

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ128 YES

For a "conservative" party all about "traditional values" they sure are willing to forsake the Constitution...

@MingCat article about it: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/23/trump-third-term-amendment-constitution-ogles.html

bought Ṁ75 YES

A State might vote on an Amendment for some sort of signal/test of loyalty, even if it has no real effect unless a critical mass of States ratify. I'll bump the probability up a little.

If we're talking about passing the bill, I'd be highly skeptical. But considering the whole vibe with Trump right now, I think bringing it to a vote is very possible.

Related questions

Will Donald Trump publicly express interest in serving a third term as president in his first quarter?

Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

+3% 1d67% chance

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?

Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Related questions

Will Donald Trump publicly express interest in serving a third term as president in his first quarter?

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?

Will Trump participate in an election for a third term?

Will Trump get a third term in office?

Will Trump finish his second term?

Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?

Will Trump be impeached for a third (total) time during his second term?

Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules