I think I have a fairly good sense of direction, especially in areas I know well and with streets. However, I can think of four times in 2023 when I got lost or otherwise failed at navigation in an embarrassing way:
Once in Seattle where I led three other people twenty blocks the wrong way (I knew the correct directions but misinterpreted where we were on the map...we were just walking on a street until we saw the hotel, but got distracted by talking about Singapore...)
Once in an area of San Francisco near the Ferry Building where I overestimated my geographical intuitions and would've walked in the wrong direction if @Imbens didn't check Apple Maps
Twice at Westfield Mall when I couldn't find the famously-easy-to-find Dome area (in my defense, I was pretty hungry)
I will use judgement to determine what counts as embarrassing, guided by these examples. Due to the subjectivity, I will not bet. I will do my best to avoid failing at navigation in an embarrassing way.
Will it happen again anyway this year? (Deadline for this market is end of December 30.)
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
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Some consolation for YES bettors — the market would've been a YES if I'd remade it for 2025. Today, I attempted to use Apple Maps to navigate to a 7-Eleven my friend told me was nearby, but instead searched for "711" and navigated to a random office building in a closed residential community whose address number was 711.
Biking into the entrance to the residential community felt wrong, but somehow I thought maybe the community had a random 7-Eleven on its premises for its residents? Like how Stanford has on-campus restaurants? Anyway once it happened I couldn't stop laughing.
@Eliza Yes, I think I’ll be in multiple new cities. There’s some chance I’ll go to Brazil (see /Conflux/will-i-qualify-for-the-2024-interna). Also in theory I will be going to college