Who will win the January 2025 Speaker of the House election?
➕
Plus
21
Ṁ4000
Jan 4
2%
Hakeem Jeffries
92%
Mike Johnson
0.3%
Kevin McCarthy
5%
Other

This question is a combination of "who will win the House in 2024" and "how solid will Johnson's grasp of the Republican caucus be."

General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.

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bought Ṁ1,000 Hakeem Jeffries NO

Republicans very likely to have control of the house so Jeffries very unlikely.

Remains to be seen whether Johnson remains speaker or Republicans choose someone else.

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