Who will win the January 2025 Speaker of the House election?
36
αΉ1.5kαΉ14kresolved Jan 3
100%99.0%
Mike Johnson
0.3%
Hakeem Jeffries
0.0%
Kevin McCarthy
0.1%
Elon Musk
0.1%
Tom Emmer
0.1%
Tom Cole
0.1%
Steve Scalise
0.1%
Jim Jordan
0.2%Other
This question is a combination of "who will win the House in 2024" and "how solid will Johnson's grasp of the Republican caucus be."
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000π Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | αΉ678 | |
| 2 | αΉ357 | |
| 3 | αΉ306 | |
| 4 | αΉ138 | |
| 5 | αΉ138 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the January 2027 Speaker of the House election?
Democratic House Speaker before 30 November 2026?
19% chance
Who will be the next female Speaker of the House?
Democrat elected Speaker of the House by end of 2026?
11% chance
In which year will the US have its next female Speaker of the House?
Who will serve as a speaker of the House of Representatives before the end of the 122nd Congress?