Who will win the January 2025 Speaker of the House election?
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Ṁ14kresolved Jan 3
100%99.0%
Mike Johnson
0.3%
Hakeem Jeffries
0.0%
Kevin McCarthy
0.1%
Elon Musk
0.1%
Tom Emmer
0.1%
Tom Cole
0.1%
Steve Scalise
0.1%
Jim Jordan
0.2%Other
This question is a combination of "who will win the House in 2024" and "how solid will Johnson's grasp of the Republican caucus be."
General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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