Which of the following swing district House reps will win reelection in 2024?

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Ṁ20k

resolved Dec 4

Resolved

YES

Don Bacon (R-NE)

Resolved

YES

Jared Golden (D-ME)

Resolved

YES

David Valadao (R-CA)

Resolved

YES

Bryan Steil (R-WI)

Resolved

YES

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-WA)

Resolved

YES

Mike Lawler (R-NY)

Resolved

YES

Scott Perry (R-PA)

Resolved

YES

Ken Calvert (R-CA)

Resolved

YES

Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-IA)

Resolved

YES

Zach Nunn (R-IA)

Resolved

YES

Gabe Vasquez (D-NM)

Resolved

YES

Vicente Gonzalez (D-TX)

Resolved

YES

Eli Crane (R-AZ)

Resolved

YES

Tom Kean (R-NJ)

Resolved

YES

Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL)

Resolved

YES

Dina Titus (D-NV)

Resolved

YES

Susie Lee (D-NV)

Resolved

YES

Steven Horsford (D-NV)

Resolved

YES

John James (R-MI)

Resolved

John Duarte (R-CA)

Based on AP race calls.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 US Election

#US Congressional Elections 2024

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8 Comments

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174 Trades

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We really should have an answer to this by Thanksgiving. This is getting absurd.

@MarkHamill Will you extend the market close date until the last race is called?

@HenryRodgers Sigh. I guess I have to.

If you want specific action on Duarte I have just the market for you: https://manifold.markets/dlin007/will-john-duarte-ca13-be-reelected

God i hate being right 😭

reposted

I think No on the 3 NV names is currently a steal.

even with the recent polling showing him down 9 points i refuse to believe it's possible scott perry loses this

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