Will I be "fired upon" between 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2023, and 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2024, as a direct result of my views on culture-war topics?
Being "fired upon" includes any the following:
I am dismissed or seriously pressured to resign from a position of employment or volunteering.
I am banned from a large organized event I am planning to attend.
"Large" means having at least 50 attendees.
The event need not take place in the relevant timeframe, only the ban.
Someone posts private personal information about me publicly, including legal name, addresses (of home or employment, or any other address where I normally receive mail), government identification numbers, and financial account numbers.
In some cases people may be expected to have some of this information, so I will only count postings in places where people would not usually have it.
Someone sends unsolicited mail or other deliveries to my home/mailing address.
I will use a strict definition of "unsolicited" here, which refers to situations in which not even an implicit agreement exists to receive mail/deliveries in a particular context. Some examples that do not qualify as unsolicited are mail from advocacy groups that result from donations to causes that touch culture-war topics, and mail sent to an address listed publicly for "fan mail" or similar purposes.
Someone who I would not normally meet in such a location appears at my home, place of employment, or other location they expect me to be at, when I did not make my current location public or known to them.
I sustain physical injury that requires treatment at an urgent-care facility or hospital, or I receive credible threats of such injury.
I suffer harrassment or stalking that prompts me to contact law enforcement or petition for a restraining order, or that I otherwise believe is illegal.
This is mainly an experiment in operationalizing the notion of "cancel culture." The intent is to include consequences that go beyond online invective and verbal abuse in public locations.
I may revise the resolution criteria based on feedback, and I reserve the right to resolve this market to N/A at any time.
I may provide liquidity subsidies but I will not otherwise trade in this market.
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@IsaacKing The question asks if I will suffer the consequences as a direct result of my culture-war views, so run-of-the-mill junk mail and door-to-door solicitations do not qualify.
Jack Grayson is not my legal name.
@CollectedOverSpread Then you should change the description criteria to reflect how you actually plan to resolve this market, because right now junk mail clearly and unambiguously meets those criteria.
@IsaacKing I wrote:
Will I be "fired upon" before 00:00 UTC on January 1, 2024, as a direct result of my views on culture-war topics? [emphasis added]
Do you think I should reword this?
@CollectedOverSpread to clarify my intention regarding unsolicited mail, I am imagining a letter sent by someone who has either found my home/mailing address illegitimately, or has obtained my address legitimately (as a result of a prior business dealing for example) but has decided to abuse it in a culture-war context.
Given the wording I quoted in my last comment, do you think the current resolution criteria capture this intent or do you still believe they are overbroad?
@CollectedOverSpread I suppose there is the case of solicitations from advocacy groups as a result in from my donations to causes that touch culture-war topics. If that is what you had in mind for an easy YES due to junk mail, then I concede your point. I'm inclined to say that this isn't "direct" enough but perhaps it is quite direct. I will think about how to revise that particular item.
@CollectedOverSpread No you're completely right, I missed that being "fired upon" had to be happening as a result of your views. I should have read the description more carefully, sorry about that.
I do think this is a rather strange way to define things; I don't think of receiving junk mail as being "fired upon" at all.
@IsaacKing I don't list my mailing addresses publicly, so if I receive mail from someone who I wouldn't expect to have such an address, then this suggests to me that they have obtained private personal information and are willing to abuse it. I would consider it adjacent to doxxing.
I've narrowed the item about mail by adopting a stricter definition of "unsolicited."