Collected Over Spread
"Mostly unqualified thoughts on technology and social dynamics." Note: Since November 2023 I am significantly reducing my activity on Manifold, but I remain committed to addressing questions on and resolving my current questions. Please ping me on Discord if needed. Creator betting policy: I will always include a policy on how I will trade in the description of each question, and the policy will not change. Generally, I reserve the right to trade in my own question when the resolution requires minimal subjective judgment and I do not have much personal influence in the outcome, or I commit to only providing liquidity subsidies otherwise.