Will I be convinced UMA didn't rug the Venezuela election market on Polymarket?
Mini
4
Ṁ545
Sep 27
80%
chance

This article seems to state a really strong case for the resolution being improper: https://frankmuci.substack.com/p/polymarket-settles-bet-against-its

Resolves to PROB of where on the scale of "nealy certainly malicious" to "perfectly correct behaviour" I judge UMA's resolution at close, at start it would resolve around 10%.

I am willing to listen to arguments how this isn't obvious misconduct and have a track record of resolving markets like this against my Mana interest.

Deadline is market close.

Nothing involving ChatGPT is "arguments".

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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To update after a discussion with @Bayesian on discord (https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/1286187576465555519/1286211221649100883) I'm somewhere around 80%, obviously open to new arguments, preferably in context of the previous discussion