Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Humanoid Robot Finishes a Half Marathon Under 2 Hours by 2030
20
Ṁ100Ṁ2.2k
2030
96%
chance

  • Prediction: By December 31, 2030, a humanoid robot will complete a 13.1-mile (21.1 km) half marathon in under 2 hours.

  • Pass/Fail Criteria:

    1. The event must be a legitimate half marathon recognized by local race authorities.

    2. The robot must run on two legs with no external power supply.

    3. Official chip time or race clock must show under 2:00:00 at the finish line.

    4. Must be documented by official race organizers or credible local media.

AI
AI Impacts
Technical AI Timelines
Robotics
Humanoid robotics
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Sort by:

Ok this one is autonomous with zero human support during the race so should definitely resolve this market

https://x.com/i/status/2045783119702425841

Paging @ChrisWiles please return to manifold to resolve this market, thank you

bought Ṁ100 YES

https://x.com/i/status/2045690677468561707

"Chinese humanoid robot just shattered the world record for a half marathon, finishing in 50 min 26 sec."

@JamesBaker3 impressive!

@ChrisWiles are battery swaps allowed by this market?

bought Ṁ14 YES

We're getting there. Not quite a YES yet, though.

https://www.newsflare.com/video/738764/robots-participate-in-worlds-first-humanoid-half-marathon-in-china?utm_source=pitch-single&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=NewsflarePitch406284

Keeping my YES position either way.

But would you count the split time for the first half during a full marathon?

People are also trading