A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
53
132
Ṁ3.5KṀ965
2028
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if there's credible news coverage of a humanoid robot causing a human death by 2028. Has to be unaided by other tech. Could be an accident, ie the falling on the person. Must be a humanoid.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Human-machine intelligence parity achieved before 2028
57% chance
Will 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
57% chance
Will 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
70% chance
A humanoid robot kills a human by 2030
31% chance
Will 10K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
66% chance
Will at least 1 million humanoid robots be produced by Jan 1, 2028?
16% chance
Will 50K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
59% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2029?
2% chance
Will humanoid robots be commonplace in the US, by 2040? ($1k mana subsidy)
65% chance
Will there be 1 billion bipedal robots by the end of 2048?
43% chance