Resolution criteria

• This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026, the trading price of SpaceX Class A Common Stock (Nasdaq: SPCX) drops below $100.00 USD.

• This includes regular trading hours, pre-market, and after-hours trading.

• The primary source of truth for the stock price of SPCX will be Yahoo Finance.

• If a stock split, reverse split, stock dividend, or other recapitalization event occurs, the $100.00 target threshold will be adjusted proportionally (e.g., a 2-for-1 stock split would adjust the target threshold to $50.00).

• If the stock does not drop below $100.00 (or its split-adjusted equivalent) at any point by the close of the final trading session of 2026, this market will resolve to NO.

• If SpaceX is acquired, delisted, or ceases to trade prior to the end of 2026 without having dropped below $100.00, the market will resolve to NO.

Background

• SpaceX priced its historic initial public offering (IPO) at $135 per share on June 11, 2026, raising $75 billion and valuing the company at $1.77 trillion.

• Under the ticker SPCX, the Class A common stock began public trading on the Nasdaq exchange on June 12, 2026.

• This market tracks whether the stock will fall approximately 26% from its IPO offer price of $135 to reach double digits ($99.99 or lower) at any point during its first several months of trading.