Will the AfD be the party with the most votes in eastern Germany in the next federal election?
14
85
Ṁ273Ṁ290
2025
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will be determined by the secondary vote results in Berlin, Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, and Thuringia. 2021 the SPD was the party with the most votes in eastern Germany:
SPD 296.446
AfD 303.233
Saxony-Anhalt
SPD 305.085
AfD 235.492
Saxony
SPD 474.804
AfD 607.044
Berlin
SPD 428.289
AfD 153.694
Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania
SPD 267.368
AfD 165.342
Brandenburg
SPD 450.573
AfD 277.412
Adds up to:
SPD 2.222.565
AfD 1.742.217
Resolves to "No", if another party has more secondary votes than the AfD.
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