Will there be a catastrophic terrorist attack that occurs within a US state on or before July 31, 2024?
Plus
28
Ṁ1907resolved Aug 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
*****Read Before Voting*****
I will clarify more as needed, but I will arbitrarily define a “catastrophic terrorist attack” to mean an attack involving 30 or more victim deaths by any means that law enforcement officials confirm was at least partially motivated by (geo)political/religious/ideological reasons, whether or not mental illness may have been a factor.
Additionally, any perpetrators who are killed during the duration of the attack will not factor into the victim death toll.
3/7/24 Edit: Technically Washington, D.C. is not a US state, so it will not be included as a US state for the purposes of this market, nor will any non-state US territories.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a fatal airliner crash in the US before the end of 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change in 2024?
6% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack on US carried out by illegal alien(s) in 2024?
7% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
61% chance
Will there be any catastrophic cascading natural disasters in 2023 or 2024?
3% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack, shooting, or another mass casualty incident at a gaming event in 2024?
11% chance
Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?
4% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than 9/11 before 2035
34% chance
Will there be an assassination of a US head of Government by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than October 7th before 2030
44% chance