Will there be an assassination of a US head of Government by the end of 2024?
Plus
38
Ṁ3537Jan 1
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This can be any head of Government - Federal, State, or Local. ie. President, Governor, or Mayors only. Those elected in 2024 who have not yet taken office at the end of the year also counts (ex. President-elect). It must be a successful assassination, attempts don't count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@BTE No, the last mayor listed as assassinated on Wikipedia was Mike Swoboda in 2008. Wikipedia may not be perfect, but he was the mayor of a tiny town in Missouri so I figure it likely mayors of tiny towns get listed there.
@4mur1c4 people have been saying saying that for a bit too long for me to care.
I can't think of a time the world's been mild.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
42% chance
Will a living US President (past or current) pass away before the end of 2024?
28% chance
Will any head of state or head of government of a UN member country be assassinated in 2024?
17% chance
Will a US president order the assassination of any of the following, and get away without criminal charges before 2029?
Will the U.S. assassinate a Houthi leader in 2024?
31% chance
Will any world leaders be assassinated by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will another United States president be assassinated before the end of 2034?
17% chance
Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
5% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38% chance