Will there be a catastrophic terrorist attack that occurs within a US state on or before July 31, 2024?
28
1kṀ1907resolved Aug 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
*****Read Before Voting*****
I will clarify more as needed, but I will arbitrarily define a “catastrophic terrorist attack” to mean an attack involving 30 or more victim deaths by any means that law enforcement officials confirm was at least partially motivated by (geo)political/religious/ideological reasons, whether or not mental illness may have been a factor.
Additionally, any perpetrators who are killed during the duration of the attack will not factor into the victim death toll.
3/7/24 Edit: Technically Washington, D.C. is not a US state, so it will not be included as a US state for the purposes of this market, nor will any non-state US territories.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ38 | |
2 | Ṁ37 | |
3 | Ṁ26 | |
4 | Ṁ16 | |
5 | Ṁ15 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any country attack the continental United States in 2025?
5% chance
Will there be a drone terror attack that kills at least 1 person in the United States before 2026?
29% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than 9/11 before 2035
34% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack deadlier than October 7th before 2030
44% chance
Will there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
66% chance
Will there be another record setting deadliest natural disaster in the United States before the end of 2029?
21% chance
Will there be a credible threat of a dirty bomb being detonated by 2028?
32% chance