Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of November?
14
240Ṁ4049resolved Nov 30
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will be resolved as 'yes' if AP, Reuters, and AFP unanimously report that the People's Republic of China has launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan. If one or more of those agencies cease to exist, the reporting from the remaining agency(ies) will be considered sufficient.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ62 | |
| 2 | Ṁ31 | |
| 3 | Ṁ28 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2029?
33% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2028?
28% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2027?
27% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
14% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan in 2025?
7% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
37% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
50% chance