Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024? | Manifold Markets

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2024?

2024

40

12%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Must be ordered from my phone. I may bet on this market.

Markets About Carson

Self-Driving Vehicles

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Thomas Kehrenberg

Anywhere on Earth?

Carson Galeis predicting YES at 22%

@tmk I live in SF, so likely will need to be in or near the Bay Area. If I'm traveling somewhere, that could resolve based on capabilities elsewhere.

oh no bought Ṁ55 NO from 13% to 12%

Chase Gomes bought Ṁ10 NO at 13%

Dan bought Ṁ10 NO at 13%

903124 sold Ṁ12 NO at 13%

Nikola bought Ṁ10 YES from 12% to 13%

Nikola bought Ṁ10 YES from 11% to 12%

Gambling Gandalf bought Ṁ1 NO at 11%

Gambling Gandalf bought Ṁ1 YES at 11%

firstuserhere sold Ṁ1 YES from 12% to 11%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ1 NO at 12%

Gordon Fierce bought Ṁ10 NO at 12%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ1 YES at 12%

firstuserhere bought Ṁ1 YES from 11% to 12%

Joel bought Ṁ45 NO from 12% to 11%

Tripping sold Ṁ1 NO at 12%

Katja Grace bought Ṁ20 YES from 10% to 12%

Nick el Chen bought Ṁ600 NO from 20% to 10%

howtodowtle bought Ṁ1 YES at 20%

Tripping bought Ṁ1 NO at 20%

Karl Voskuil bought Ṁ10 NO at 20%

Carlos Leon bought Ṁ10 YES from 19% to 20%

Midwit Messiah bought Ṁ50 NO from 20% to 19%

Jacob bought Ṁ10 NO from 21% to 20%

Jean-Philippe Burelle bought Ṁ10 NO at 21%

CubityFirst bought Ṁ10 NO from 22% to 21%

Isaac bought Ṁ10 NO at 22%

Michael Klyachman sold Ṁ10 NO at 22%

Michael Klyachman bought Ṁ10 NO at 22%

Wobbles bought Ṁ80 NO from 27% to 22%

Tоm bought Ṁ10 NO at 27%

903124 bought Ṁ10 NO from 28% to 27%

CrashHermit bought Ṁ10 NO from 29% to 28%

Cris bought Ṁ10 NO from 30% to 29%

Ian Philips bought Ṁ10 NO from 31% to 30%

Ten Shino bought Ṁ10 NO from 32% to 31%

Evan bought Ṁ10 NO from 33% to 32%

turb bought Ṁ10 YES from 30% to 33%

AllAboutHustle bought Ṁ10 YES from 27% to 30%

Charlie bought Ṁ10 YES from 24% to 27%

Eric Jang bought Ṁ15 NO from 26% to 24%

Carson Gale bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 26%

Luke Hanks bought Ṁ10 NO from 24% to 23%

brp bought Ṁ10 NO from 26% to 24%

brp bought Ṁ10 NO from 28% to 26%

brp bought Ṁ10 NO from 31% to 28%

brp bought Ṁ10 NO from 34% to 31%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ1/Ṁ100 YES at 34% (cancelled)

David Udell bought Ṁ15 NO from 41% to 32%

Patrick Purvis bought Ṁ10 NO from 49% to 41%

Bionic bought Ṁ10 NO from 60% to 49%

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Related markets

Will I be able to order a self-driving taxi without a steering wheel by end of 2023?13%

Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?49%

Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2024?30%

Will a fully autonomous, Level 5 self driving car be available for purchase in the US by the year 2040?84%

Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?39%

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?63%

Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?25%