Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that I am arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
6
29
150
2026
22%
chance

https://twitter.com/galestorm94/status/1600630650192957440?s=20&t=FUVrYI7G0PAK9Z9fJ4SG6g

Edit: In the event I am accused, I will wait several weeks before resolving this market.

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I like this idea and made a similar one for me. (I removed the requirement that someone else accuse me of it; I'll also include me realizing it afterwards myself.)

People may not trust you to judge your own bad faithness in good faith. May be worth adding a caveat that you'll wait a few weeks after the accusation before resolving this market in order to let any emotional response evaporate and give you a chance to be cool-headed about it.

If you don't mind, I also made a duplicate of this market that I'll resolve based on my opinion instead of yours.

@IsaacKing This is very additive for what I'm going for - thank you!

@IsaacKing What's the point waiting a few weeks? Are you worried that Carson will irrationally think the accusation was credible, but then decides it was not credible after the emotional response evaporates?

bought Ṁ42 of NO

@Yev Oh yeah, I guess this market can only early resolve in one direction.