Which of the following AI pundits will publicly recant the belief they're known for holding before 2028?
6
33
Ṁ220
2028
55%
Gary Marcus, believing that pure neural networks are not capable of general intelligence
50%
Geoffrey Hinton, believing that near-term existential risk is a serious concern
30%
Yann LeCun, believing that existential risk is very low
29%
Eliezer Yudkowsky, believing that existential risk is very high

In order to count, they must make a public statement to the effect of "I have changed my mind; I used to believe X, now I believe Y, which is substantively different from X".

Please suggest more people for me to add.

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bought Ṁ50 of Yann LeCun, believin... NO

Yann LeCun would declare you insane for believing that x-risk is very high 5 seconds before he gets processed to paper clips.

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