
Will I argue for something in bad faith by the end of 2022?
5
110Ṁ166resolved Jan 5
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I believe that I was making some argument in bad faith. Resolves NO if that hasn't happened by the end of 2022.
Since my own judgement of whether my own judgement is sound is obviously biased, I'd encourage others to create duplicates of this market that they resolve based on their opinion instead.
I'll post potential examples in the comments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ53 | |
2 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
Hey, someone give me an external opinion: Am I being condescending here?
https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-over-57-of-users-vote-yes-for#fdkvtQVLYA54jlhPAtlH
@CarsonGale Yeah. I've said some things I regret recently, so a longer market wouldn't allow me to confidently bet NO. I'll likely make a new one in January that might be for longer.
Related questions
Related questions
Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that I am arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
22% chance
Will anyone on Twitter make a credible claim that @CarsonGale is arguing for something in bad faith by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2025?
5% chance
Will I conclude, at the end of 2025, that this year has been better than 2024?
47% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2026?
7% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2028?
5% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2029?
5% chance
Will effective altruism be "winning" over effective accelerationism at the end of 2024?
33% chance
Will anyone contest one of my resolution decisions in 2027?
4% chance
Will I think that CEA has done a significantly bad thing before end of 2026?
36% chance